There is often a gap in what we are taught in college and the knowledge that we need to possess to be successful in our professional lives. This is exactly what happened to me when I joined a consultancy firm as a business analyst. At that time I was a fresher coming straight from the cool college atmosphere, newly exposed to the Corporate Heat.
One day my boss called me to his office and told me that one of their clients, a big insurance company, was facing significant losses on auto insurance. They had hired us to identify and quantify the factors responsible for it. My boss emailed me the data that the company had provided and asked me to do a multivariate linear regression analysis on it. My boss told me to use R and make a presentation of the summary.
Now as a statistics student I was quite aware of the principles of a multivariate linear regression, but I had never used R. For those of you who are not aware, R is a statistical programming language. It is a very powerful tool and widely used across the world in analyzing data. Of course, I did not know this at that time.
Anyways, it took me a lot of surfing on the internet and reading books to learn how to fit my model in R. and now I want to help you guys save that time!
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Getting Started with R
R is an open source tool easily available on the internet. I'll assume you have it installed on your computer. Else you can easily download and install it from www.r-project.org/
I have already converted the raw data file from the client into a clean .csv (comma separated) file. click here to download the file.
I've saved this on the D drive of computer in a folder called Linear_Reg_Sample. You can save it anywhere, but remember to change the path wherever a file path is mentioned.
Open the R software that you've installed. It's time to get started!
Let's Start Regression in R
The first thing to do is obviously read all our data in R. This can be easily done using the command: >LinRegData <- read.csv(file = "D:\\Linear Reg using R\\Linear_Reg_Sample_Data.csv")
Here we read all the data into an object LinRegData, using a function read.csv().
NOTE: If you observe closely, you'll see that we have used \\ instead of a \. This is because of the construct of the language. Whenever you enter a path, make sure to use \\
Let's see if our data has been read by R. Use the following command to get a summary of the data: >summary(LinRegData)
This will give output
Image 1: Summary of input data
In the output you can see the distribution of data. The min, max, median, mean are shown for all the variables.
Performing the Regression Analysis
Now that the data has been loaded, we need to fit a regression model over it.
We will use the following command in R to fit the model: >FitLinReg <- lm(Capped_Losses ~ Number_Vehicles + Average_Age + Gender_Dummy + Married_Dummy + Avg_Veh_Age + Fuel_Type_Dummy, LinRegData)
In this command, we create an object FitLinReg and store the results of our regression model in it. The lm() function is used to fit the model. Inside the model, Capped_Losses is our dependent variable which we are trying to explain using the other variables that are separated by a + sign. The last parameter of the formula is the source of the data.
If no error is displayed, it means our regression is done and the results are stored in FitLinReg. We can see the results using two commands:
This gives the output:
This gives the output:
The summary command gives us the intercepts of each variable, its standard error, t value and significance.
The output also tells us what the significance level of each variable is. For e.g., a *** variable highly is significant, a ** variable is significant at the 99.9% level and a space next to the variable indicates that it is not significant.
We can easily see that the Number_Vehicles variable is not significant and does not affect the model. We can remove this variable from the model.
If you go through what we've done till now, you will realize that it took us just two commands to fit a multivariate model in R. See how simple life has become!!!
In this way I learnt how to fit a regression model using R. I made a summary of my findings and made a presentation to the clients.
My boss was rather happy with me and I received a hefty bonus that year.
This is but a small example of the power of data analytics and R.
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